Will Facebook Lose To Twitter?

Marketing firm HubSpot had publish a report on the state of Twitter at the end of 2008, based on their user data harvested from its controversial app TwitterGrader.  Among the few findings that they had conclude in their report was:

HubSpot estimates that Twitter has 4 to 5 million users, 30% of which are “brand new or unengaged.” They estimate that Twitter sees between five and ten thousand new accounts opened each day. That’s a nice number, but it’s far below, for example, Facebook’s astonishing 600k daily registrations and 140 million active users. Twitter is a fascinating little phenomenon – Facebook is mainstream.

From their own projection, if Facebook stopped growing right now and Twitter’s numbers were at the upper end of Hubspot’s estimates (10k per day) – it would take 36 years for Twitter to catch up. [(135,000,000 more Facebook users / 10,000 new Twitter users per day) / 365 days per year = just about 37 years].  That surely a long way of catching-up need to be done by Twitter.

Other findings from HubSpot’s report can be read here or download here.  So I guess, Facebook will still be in the lead and will continues to lead despite the growing number of people use Twitter.  Even at Facebook, you still can have a short update at your own profile that almost similar to Twitter.

So what your opinion on this issue?

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